Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate, recently expressed concerns to a group of donors that his polling figures have been negatively impacted by the Republican Party’s hastily arranged midterm convention held in Dallas earlier this month. This revelation, uncovered through leaked audio shared with The New York Times, highlights tensions surrounding the convention and its implications for Paxton’s campaign.
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Paxton, a staunch supporter of former President Donald Trump, conveyed his frustrations during a meeting with approximately a dozen conservative donors and lobbyists in Washington, D.C. He admitted that the convention had caused a drop in his poll numbers, saying, “To be honest with you, the numbers — when we did that convention — it dropped our numbers. Everybody’s numbers dropped. Right now, yeah, not good.”
The news emerges as Paxton faces a significant challenge in his bid for the Senate. After defeating long-serving incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn in a contentious primary largely due to Trump’s endorsement, Paxton now finds himself striving to prevent becoming the first Texas Republican since 1988 to lose a statewide election to a Democrat. Current independent polls indicate that Paxton’s opponent, Democrat James Talarico, holds a slight edge in what is shaping up to be a tight race.

In response to the leaked audio, a senior adviser to Paxton, Nick Maddux, dismissed the narrative being pushed by The New York Times. He stated, “This is more manipulated nonsense… Our latest poll from the last week has Ken Paxton leading by three points, and every serious pollster will tell you that our numbers have improved since early September.” Maddux expressed confidence in Paxton’s potential for victory, particularly with Trump’s involvement in the campaign.
Trump, who recently addressed the midterm convention, apparently believes that the event benefited Paxton’s campaign. At the convention, Trump remarked that Paxton was an asset to the party, asserting that “the fact that we had such a successful convention really helped Ken Paxton,” adding he believes Paxton “is tied or leading now.”
However, despite the positive endorsements, Trump has made some offhand remarks regarding Paxton’s appearance and public speaking capabilities. During his speech at the convention, he referred to Paxton in a manner that implied a more casual, less flattering opinion, despite underscoring his political prowess. “He may not dress right, he may not talk exactly perfectly, and he may not be the best-looking guy I’ve ever seen, but you know what he is? He’s the greatest attorney general in America,” Trump said.
The midterm convention was rather unusual, as such gatherings have become increasingly rare in non-presidential election years. With Trump playing a significant role in its organisation, the two-day event in Dallas sought to galvanise support for Republican candidates ahead of the midterms. However, following the convention, there appear to be mixed opinions about its effectiveness for candidates like Paxton.
Nationally, Trump’s approval ratings hover around 37%, with about 60% of voters disapproving of his performance, according to recent polling averages. This dissatisfaction may be complicating matters for candidates like Paxton, who heavily rely on Trump’s backing for their campaigns.
As the election approaches, all eyes will be on how Paxton navigates this challenging landscape. With significant implications for both his political future and the Republican Party in Texas, Paxton’s performance in the upcoming months will undoubtedly be scrutinised closely by supporters and critics alike. The race remains tightly contested, and Paxton’s ability to regain momentum will be crucial if he hopes to secure victory in November.
